Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Yamaha Motors Buyback (7272) - Medium-Bigly Buyback Complicated by TOPIX FFW and Cross-Holdings

Yamaha Motor – Struggling But Still Too Cheap

Yamaha Motor – Comfortable Beat of Consensus on the Cards

Yamaha Motor – Indonesia Drives Recovery

Yamaha Motor – Continues to Impress Despite Indonesia Weakness

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Yamaha Motor’s 4Q21 beat on margins with revenue of ¥450bn (+1.2% QoQ, +11.3% YoY) and OP of ¥27.7bn for an OPM of 6.2%. </li>
<li>The reported OP was 8.6% higher than consensus estimates while revenue was relatively in-line. </li>
<li>Yamaha’s FY OP generation was ¥182.3bn, right in the middle of our ¥180-185bn estimate and 2022 guidance was more or less in-line with consensus.</li>
</ul>


Yamaha Motor’s 4Q21 beat on margins with revenue of ¥450bn (+1.2% QoQ, +11.3% YoY) and OP of ¥27.7bn for an OPM of 6.2%. 
The reported OP was 8.6% higher than consensus estimates while revenue was relatively in-line. 
Yamaha’s FY OP generation was ¥182.3bn, right in the middle of our ¥180-185bn estimate and 2022 guidance was more or less in-line with consensus.


Yamaha Motor – Lowballing Guidance on Material Costs