Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

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CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Stock markets are 80% mood-driven and 20% based on fundamentals</li>
<li>
Risk appetite is both paramount and strongly mean-reverting</li>
<li>We can measure what investors are doing from holdings data
</li>
<li>Positioning in risk assets remains generally low, suggesting still decent returns. No evidence of bubbles!</li>
<li>Among best performing markets over next two-years should be Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia because their investor risk appetite depressed</li>
</ul>


Stock markets are 80% mood-driven and 20% based on fundamentals

Risk appetite is both paramount and strongly mean-reverting
We can measure what investors are doing from holdings data

Positioning in risk assets remains generally low, suggesting still decent returns. No evidence of bubbles!
Among best performing markets over next two-years should be Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia because their investor risk appetite depressed


Which Asian Stock Markets Will Out-Perform Over The Next Two Years?