Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Updated UK population estimates and projections drove a 402k upward revision to the employment level while unemployment was broadly unchanged.</li><li>With output and wages unaffected, productivity was weakened into a slight trend decline while implied unit wage costs are 1.3pp higher and stuck above 5% y-o-y.</li><li>Full typical passthrough to consumer prices reinforces the underlying inflation problem. The BoE should discount labour market data and cautiously hold rates in December.</li></ul><p></p>

Updated UK population estimates and projections drove a 402k upward revision to the employment level while unemployment was broadly unchanged.With output and wages unaffected, productivity was weakened into a slight trend decline while implied unit wage costs are 1.3pp higher and stuck above 5% y-o-y.Full typical passthrough to consumer prices reinforces the underlying inflation problem. The BoE should discount labour market data and cautiously hold rates in December.

UK Revisions Raise Inflationary Pressure