Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Interest rate spikes in 2022 and 2023 rattled the housing market, but prompt reversals in market rates dissipated the shocks before they were adequately felt.</li><li>UK mortgage rates are back to their lows from last spring, and approvals for new loans are higher than then. Lending values are set to turn positive again soon. </li><li>The risk to economic activity and RPI inflation increasingly appears to have blown over, with housing depreciation troughing and MIPs unlikely to turn negative soon. </li></ul><p></p>

Interest rate spikes in 2022 and 2023 rattled the housing market, but prompt reversals in market rates dissipated the shocks before they were adequately felt.UK mortgage rates are back to their lows from last spring, and approvals for new loans are higher than then. Lending values are set to turn positive again soon. The risk to economic activity and RPI inflation increasingly appears to have blown over, with housing depreciation troughing and MIPs unlikely to turn negative soon. 

UK Housing Shock Has Blown Over Again