Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

N Field (6077) Take-Private by Unison Capital - Fast Growth Long Runway Asset Going Not So Rich

MBO for Unimat (9707 JP): Deserves a Bump!

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<p>On 8 February 2021, in announcing <a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/2398/ir_material_for_fiscal_ym10/94981/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Q3 earnings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsukui-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13727:1" rel="noopener">Tsukui Corp (2398 JP)</a> also announced that an entity called MBPK Life LLC - formed by MBK Partners.</p>
<p>The Tender Offer is struck at ¥924/share, which is well below the highs reached two years ago. </p>
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<p>This has been structured by MBK and the #1 shareholder so that the #1 shareholder Tsukui Kikaku does not tender at ¥924/share, but instead sells shares back to the company after the deal is complete, doing so at ¥753/share. This is presented as an effort to maximize the profits of the ordinary shareholders, but there is tax planning going on in the background. </p>
<p>The average weighted Adjusted EV is a few turns lower than the headline EV Tender Offer Price to minorities, but that means the buyer probably has room for manoeuvre if pushed. This is not as egregiously bad as some other recent MBOs and take-privates in the space. </p>
<p>Some of it depends on the nature of the assets. Is it an asset play or a service play. Strangely enough, the service plays seem to get a higher multiple. </p>
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<p>More below the fold. </p>

On 8 February 2021, in announcing Q3 earnings, Tsukui Corp (2398 JP) also announced that an entity called MBPK Life LLC - formed by MBK Partners.
The Tender Offer is struck at ¥924/share, which is well below the highs reached two years ago. 




This has been structured by MBK and the #1 shareholder so that the #1 shareholder Tsukui Kikaku does not tender at ¥924/share, but instead sells shares back to the company after the deal is complete, doing so at ¥753/share. This is presented as an effort to maximize the profits of the ordinary shareholders, but there is tax planning going on in the background. 
The average weighted Adjusted EV is a few turns lower than the headline EV Tender Offer Price to minorities, but that means the buyer probably has room for manoeuvre if pushed. This is not as egregiously bad as some other recent MBOs and take-privates in the space. 
Some of it depends on the nature of the assets. Is it an asset play or a service play. Strangely enough, the service plays seem to get a higher multiple. 

More below the fold. 

Tsukui Holdings (2398) - Another CHEAP Japan Nursing Care Take-Private Deal