Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Toshiba (6502) - Funding Mostly Secured, Still, Again, Maybe. Or Maybe Not. Or Not.

Toshiba (6502) - Funding Definitely Probably Now Secured - Next Steps and Risks

Good Morning Japan |Peak Rates Still 5% Post Powell - Beta Roars Back; Inbound-China Excludes Japan

Toshiba (6502 JP): Sanctions on YMTC Help Kioxia

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We have turned slightly more bearish on Toshiba’s near term fundamental prospects as we now have concerns about the industrial side of its semiconductor business. </li>
<li>The re-emergence of a WDC-Kioxia deal and the likelihood of a change in BOJ policy make us wonder whether bankers might want to wait a little on financing. </li>
<li>As such, while recent weakness makes an aggressively negative view difficult we do not feel that upside risks are particularly threatening either.</li>
</ul>


We have turned slightly more bearish on Toshiba’s near term fundamental prospects as we now have concerns about the industrial side of its semiconductor business. 
The re-emergence of a WDC-Kioxia deal and the likelihood of a change in BOJ policy make us wonder whether bankers might want to wait a little on financing. 
As such, while recent weakness makes an aggressively negative view difficult we do not feel that upside risks are particularly threatening either.


Toshiba Corp

Toshiba – Preparing for 2QFY23