Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Nasdaq 100 (NDX INDEX) Poised for Rebound After 4-Week Slump

A Unique High-Frequency Indicator of Recessions

The Eventual Shift in Fed Policy: When & By How Much?

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The recent decline in US equities only smells like a recession, might not taste like one yet</li>
<li>Broader and timelier measures of the economy do not seem to be as soggy as the early indications from headline GDP at this time</li>
<li>My weekly Recession Odds indicator, which takes into account a range of indicators with diversified coverage, offers another angle on the ongoing recession debate</li>
</ul>


The recent decline in US equities only smells like a recession, might not taste like one yet
Broader and timelier measures of the economy do not seem to be as soggy as the early indications from headline GDP at this time
My weekly Recession Odds indicator, which takes into account a range of indicators with diversified coverage, offers another angle on the ongoing recession debate


The Sky Is Falling!?