Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Olympus (7733) - OP Hit but Additional Buyback; Positive Dynamics but Flow Risks Persist

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): Q3 Operating Profit Misses Estimates Despite Sales Beat; FY24 Guidance Cut

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Olympus has been sold down relatively hard in the last couple of months. At the same time, we are at crunch time for the cancellation of the US ADR.</li>
<li>This may create short-term overhang, but the medium-term overhang from substantial foreign net buying in H1 when USDJPY was going up may be larger. </li>
<li>This insight looks at the relative performance vs Peers, vs forward earnings expectations, USDJPY, etc.</li>
</ul>


Olympus has been sold down relatively hard in the last couple of months. At the same time, we are at crunch time for the cancellation of the US ADR.
This may create short-term overhang, but the medium-term overhang from substantial foreign net buying in H1 when USDJPY was going up may be larger. 
This insight looks at the relative performance vs Peers, vs forward earnings expectations, USDJPY, etc.


The Olympus Peer-Relative Crash - Due to ADR Cancellation Overhang?