The Market Sentimentalist - Confusion Reigns (The Crude Oil Price and the Global Economy)

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The Market Sentimentalist - Are The Stars Aligned?

Amareos

Ryan Shea

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2><strong>Summary</strong></h2><p><em>Global asset markets have shrugged off rising geopolitical tensions, stretched valuations and worries that the world’s leading central banks were embarking on a coordinated withdrawal of monetary policy accommodation. What has helped is a macroeconomic backdrop widely-perceived as benign – a Goldilocks scenario where economic growth is neither “too hot nor too cold” and inflation pressures are moderate. Of the two, we judge the inflation element to be the most critical. Given this, we</em>…</p>

SummaryGlobal asset markets have shrugged off rising geopolitical tensions, stretched valuations and worries that the world’s leading central banks were embarking on a coordinated withdrawal of monetary policy accommodation. What has helped is a macroeconomic backdrop widely-perceived as benign – a Goldilocks scenario where economic growth is neither “too hot nor too cold” and inflation pressures are moderate. Of the two, we judge the inflation element to be the most critical. Given this, we…

The Market Sentimentalist - The Worry List