Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Why Inflation Is A Game Changer For Portfolios

Fresh Assault on SPX 3,630 Bull/Bear Line

What the Fed and FedEx Are Telling the Markets

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Dominance of retail investors in US equity market may explain disparity between data on investor positioning and more negative sentiment surveys</li>
<li>Households’ equity positions can be shown to be directly related to the US unemployment rate, and it reactive than anticipatory</li>
<li>With unemployment set to test 6% of workforce, equities will continue to sell-off. Yet, this looks like the final down-leg of this bear market</li>
</ul>


Dominance of retail investors in US equity market may explain disparity between data on investor positioning and more negative sentiment surveys
Households’ equity positions can be shown to be directly related to the US unemployment rate, and it reactive than anticipatory
With unemployment set to test 6% of workforce, equities will continue to sell-off. Yet, this looks like the final down-leg of this bear market


The Final Bear Phase: America’s Retail Investors Are Only Just Starting To Panic