Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Jason Tan

Economist

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>After nearly two years of respectable growth, the Thai economy has lost some steam and wobbled in the face of growing uncertainties in the global environment and a moderation in global demand.</li>
<li>Domestic demand has picked up the growth mantle even as exports rallied in Oct 18. Farm incomes should continue rising as price declines in agricultural products decelerate. Stability indicators remain well-behaved and should provide stable foundations for policy measures.</li>
<li>Election spending will prop up private consumption at least for the coming two quarters while the monetary punchbowl will be gradually removed by an increasingly hawkish BOT. Overall, there will be wobbles along the way to a lower but still-healthy growth level.</li>
</ul>


After nearly two years of respectable growth, the Thai economy has lost some steam and wobbled in the face of growing uncertainties in the global environment and a moderation in global demand.
Domestic demand has picked up the growth mantle even as exports rallied in Oct 18. Farm incomes should continue rising as price declines in agricultural products decelerate. Stability indicators remain well-behaved and should provide stable foundations for policy measures.
Election spending will prop up private consumption at least for the coming two quarters while the monetary punchbowl will be gradually removed by an increasingly hawkish BOT. Overall, there will be wobbles along the way to a lower but still-healthy growth level.


Thailand: Wobbles En Route to Slower but Still-Sustained Growth Momentum