Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

China Internet Weekly (6Feb2023): Tencent, JD.com, Microsoft

China Internet Weekly (13Feb2023): Ministry of Industry, Cyberspace Admin, Tencent, Douyin, Meituan

Tencent (700 HK): Game Market Shrinks for the First Time

Tencent/Netease: January Game Approval Shows Tencent Playing Catching Up

China Internet Weekly (16Jan2023): Alibaba, Tencent, JD.com, ByteDance

China Internet Weekly (23Jan2023): Tencent, Meituan, NetEase, Activision Blizzard

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe total revenue growth rate will accelerate from 4Q22 and grow by 9% in 2023.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin will be stable from 4Q22 to 2Q23, but the margin will climb up from 3Q23.</li>
<li>We believe that EPS will increase by 16% and the stock will have an upside of 21%~44%.</li>
</ul>


We believe total revenue growth rate will accelerate from 4Q22 and grow by 9% in 2023.
We believe the operating margin will be stable from 4Q22 to 2Q23, but the margin will climb up from 3Q23.
We believe that EPS will increase by 16% and the stock will have an upside of 21%~44%.


Tencent (700 HK): Risen 100% in Three Months, But Still 21%~44% Upside