Teekay Tankers (TNK US, Unattractive, USD 1.60)–Trim Fair Value on Weak Earnings and Asset Disposals

Will Liquidity Issues Continue to Haunt Teekay Tankers?

Teekay Tankers – Attractive Valuation Ahead of Recovery in Tanker Space

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Equity Bottom-Up

Teekay Tankers Ltd Class A / Equity Bottom-Up

<p><em>We have scaled down our fair value estimate to USD 6.40 per share (from USD 8.60 earlier) but maintained our Attractive view on the stock, as we believe its profitability will decline slightly with expected weakness in freight rates from the second half of the year when newbuild vessels join the fleet. We have also placed the company in the Medium risk category with a stable outlook over the long term; however, gearing higher than its peers is a concern. Aggressive fleet expansion at a time when tanker shipping is leading the maritime industry will be the key catalyst for the company.</em></p>

We have scaled down our fair value estimate to USD 6.40 per share (from USD 8.60 earlier) but maintained our Attractive view on the stock, as we believe its profitability will decline slightly with expected weakness in freight rates from the second half of the year when newbuild vessels join the fleet. We have also placed the company in the Medium risk category with a stable outlook over the long term; however, gearing higher than its peers is a concern. Aggressive fleet expansion at a time when tanker shipping is leading the maritime industry will be the key catalyst for the company.

Teekay Tankers (TNK US) – High Spot Exposure and Increased Leverage; a Reason to Worry