Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Softbank (9984) Strong Bull Elements off of 4,200 Big Support

Softbank Group - A Strong Dollar Is Good News with 87% of Assets Overseas

Softbank Group - Early Read on Q4 Portfolio Performance

Softbank – That ¥4000 Mark Is Getting Close…

Softbank Group - China Bounce Erases a Week of Losses

TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade – Updates Factoring in Ukraine

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Softbank is apparently trying to garner a $50bn valuation for Arm at its IPO and secure $8bn in margin loans on the back of that.</li>
<li>We think that is a stretch though it is certainly not impossible that it would succeed. </li>
<li>However, in terms of real value we suspect Arm could be worth less than $10bn and articulate why below.</li>
</ul>


Softbank is apparently trying to garner a $50bn valuation for Arm at its IPO and secure $8bn in margin loans on the back of that.
We think that is a stretch though it is certainly not impossible that it would succeed. 
However, in terms of real value we suspect Arm could be worth less than $10bn and articulate why below.


Softbank – Why We Think Arm Is Worth Less Than $10bn