HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience with focuses on China transport, infrastructure, industrials and utilities sectors. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, accumulated nearly 20 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities. 

Osbert has received votes from top-tier institutional investors and has been a highly-ranked transport and infrastructure analyst in the Asiamoney, Institutional Investors and Greenwich surveys. In addition to his extensive experience with international investment banks including RBS, ABN AMRO (both served as Shanghai Chief Representative), Paribas Asia Equity, Maybank Kim Eng and DBS Securities, he has been a senior analyst with Moody’s Investors Service with focus on ratings of China infrastructure and related LGFV issuers. He has also worked in the area of strategic development at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited. 

Osbert holds a BBA from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin and a MSSc in Applied Psychology from the City University of Hong Kong. He was accredited with the CFA charter in 1997, and is a member of both British Psychological Society and Hong Kong Psychological Society.

Sinotrans (598 HK): Challenges Have Not Abated Yet

Sinotrans (598 HK): From Strength to Strength

Sinotrans (598 HK): Attracted by the Yield

Sinotrans (598 HK): Still Seeing Uncertainties Ahead

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The pullback from the peak and after the 3Q24 result is excessive, as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> is still sitting on an attractive 8.4% dividend yield for FY24.</li>
<li>We should not be concerned too much about the fluctuations in government grants and JV contributions, which are the key drags. Historically, they have exhibited quarterly volatility.</li>
<li>Its dividend payout has raised by 6pp in 1H24 despite an 11% earnings drop. Both net cash position and improving operating cash flow can afford a higher payout.</li>
</ul>


The pullback from the peak and after the 3Q24 result is excessive, as Sinotrans (598 HK) is still sitting on an attractive 8.4% dividend yield for FY24.
We should not be concerned too much about the fluctuations in government grants and JV contributions, which are the key drags. Historically, they have exhibited quarterly volatility.
Its dividend payout has raised by 6pp in 1H24 despite an 11% earnings drop. Both net cash position and improving operating cash flow can afford a higher payout.


Sinotrans (598 HK): More than Enough Safety Margin