Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Mr. Bhaskaran is a leading Asian economist based in Singapore with more than 30 years of experience in studying economic, political and security issues that shape the business environment in Asia. He co-ordinates the Asian business of Washington DC-based strategic advisory firm, Centennial Group, directing its Asian economic research practice which provides in-depth analysis of macro trends in Asia. He works extensively with investment institutions, government agencies and corporations. Mr. Bhaskaran regularly presents his views on the economic, political and business environment in Asia at business conferences and in-house briefings. He has conducted studies on a wide range of subjects including: consumer finance in Asia; Asian integration; regional and country-specific political and economic outlooks; the Impact of China on Asia; portfolio capital flows in emerging markets, amongst many others. He is as a member of the Regional Advisory Group for Asia and the Pacific of the International Monetary Fund. Mr. Bhaskaran is a regular columnist for The Edge (Singapore) and holds positions in think tanks including being Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS); Vice President of the Economics Society of Singapore, and Council Member of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA). Mr. Bhaskaran serves on the boards of CIMB Investment Bank and Japfa Limited.

Asia Economist and CEO

Malaysia: UMNO Sweep in Melaka Could Herald Early Elections in 1H22

Thailand: A Good Chance of Upside Surprise in 2022

Temperatures Rise and Fall in Asia’s Geo-Political Hot Spots

What’s Next for US-China Economic Relations?

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul style="list-style-type: square;">
<li>We see China and the US holding high-level talks soon. But the breakdown of trust and irreconcilable strategic objectives will limit what can be agreed. A long period of contestation is likely, with East and Southeast Asia the main arenas.</li>
<li>Taiwan remains of concern as Chinese pressures grow but a conflict can be avoided for now. </li>
<li>Myanmar is descending into a civil war. The military will eventually squash the militant opposition but the country’s future is bleak – a dysfunctional state and economy are likely.</li>
<li>Thailand and Malaysia face rising risks of political turbulence as well as their political establishments fracture and lose the ability to resolve underlying social tensions.</li>
</ul>


We see China and the US holding high-level talks soon. But the breakdown of trust and irreconcilable strategic objectives will limit what can be agreed. A long period of contestation is likely, with East and Southeast Asia the main arenas.
Taiwan remains of concern as Chinese pressures grow but a conflict can be avoided for now. 
Myanmar is descending into a civil war. The military will eventually squash the militant opposition but the country’s future is bleak – a dysfunctional state and economy are likely.
Thailand and Malaysia face rising risks of political turbulence as well as their political establishments fracture and lose the ability to resolve underlying social tensions.


Rising Political Risks in Asia: What to Look Out For