Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Second Leg Down: 5% Points More on Fed Funds! Central Banks Turn Up the Heat

Why A Financial Crisis Could Be The Bulls` Best Hope

Don't Fight the Fed; Pullback Underway as Rising DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield Back to Being Headwind

DXY: Dollar Strength May Have Peaked But This Is Not The End of It

Jackson Hole Symposium: Fed Is Clearer on Tapering, and EM Asia Is in Better Shape

Upgrading Discretionary to Overweight, Downgrading Energy & Health Care to Market Weight

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Chairman Powell’s short and direct Jackson Hole speech emphasized the need to conquer inflation and (unusually) warned us to expect some economic pain</li>
<li>US monetary tightening is being front-end loaded. The Fed sees QT/QE operating like an ‘air conditioning unit’ whirring in the background. But we see QT as a wrecking ball
</li>
<li>Too much liquidity is being sucked out of financial markets by Central Banks. Among other things it may trigger Euro instability? Will this force a policy pivot sometime in 2023?</li>
</ul>


Chairman Powell’s short and direct Jackson Hole speech emphasized the need to conquer inflation and (unusually) warned us to expect some economic pain
US monetary tightening is being front-end loaded. The Fed sees QT/QE operating like an ‘air conditioning unit’ whirring in the background. But we see QT as a wrecking ball

Too much liquidity is being sucked out of financial markets by Central Banks. Among other things it may trigger Euro instability? Will this force a policy pivot sometime in 2023?


Post-Jackson Hole: Don’t Fight The Fed… Euro Collapse Threatened?