Dry Bulk Shipping Outlook 2019: Global Slowdown Casts Shadow on Long Held Recovery Narrative

Amid Mayhem on the Hong Kong Exchange, Pacific Basin’s Dividend Reinstatement Fails to Impress

Will Oaktree Thank Their Lucky Stars for Reducing Its Stake in SBLK?

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Equity Bottom-Up

Pacific Basin Shipping / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>While Handysize vessels withstood the test of time as TCE earnings dipped only 3.0% (USD 280pd) to USD 9,080pd, Supramaxes faced the real punch as earnings dropped by 7.6% (USD 850pd) to USD 10,400pd in 1Q19 y/y. Cargoes for small carriers have been majorly impacted due to the distressed soybean trade led by the US-China trade dispute and indirect import restrictions on Australian coal at Chinese ports. Weakness in the first quarter will impact the 1H19 result but we expect a better 2H19 result as freight rates have picked up.</p>

While Handysize vessels withstood the test of time as TCE earnings dipped only 3.0% (USD 280pd) to USD 9,080pd, Supramaxes faced the real punch as earnings dropped by 7.6% (USD 850pd) to USD 10,400pd in 1Q19 y/y. Cargoes for small carriers have been majorly impacted due to the distressed soybean trade led by the US-China trade dispute and indirect import restrictions on Australian coal at Chinese ports. Weakness in the first quarter will impact the 1H19 result but we expect a better 2H19 result as freight rates have picked up.

Pacific Basin (2343 HK): Small Is the New Forerunner