Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Colowide Partial Tender for Ootoya Is a Sell

Ootoya Tender Offer - Still Tough, Still a Sell

Ootoya – Colowide Extends Drama and TOB Deadline With an Eye on Low Shareholder Turnout

Ootoya – Oisix Ra Daichi Tie-Up Could Sway Some Votes But Unlikely to Solve LT Issues

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

When <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/colowide-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13967:1" rel="noopener">Colowide Co Ltd (7616 JP)</a> launched its Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ootoya-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7329:1" rel="noopener">OOTOYA Holdings (2705 JP)</a> back in July, the attempt was to get to board control. Colowide only got to 46+% but at an EGM held earlier this month, they spilled the board and put their own in. My premise for selling at the time was that the stock was - even without thinking of covid effects - expensive at the terms proposed, so that if the Tender went through, the shares would fall afterwards, and there was a non-negligible chance the tender did not go through because the Ootoya kabunushi yutai (shareholder benefit) program was reasonably generous. At the time, I argued that the right trade for those who wanted the yutai program to continue was perhaps to sell their shares into the tender and buy Colowide instead, because their kabunushi yutai program was much more generous. From that point, Ootoya fell 35+% and even at a three-month low, Colowide has gained 14% (though from when I wrote that through end-Sep, Colowide was up 50% at times). New news out yesterday improves the chances Ootoya will see its shares bid up again.

When Colowide Co Ltd (7616 JP) launched its Tender Offer for OOTOYA Holdings (2705 JP) back in July, the attempt was to get to board control. Colowide only got to 46+% but at an EGM held earlier this month, they spilled the board and put their own in. My premise for selling at the time was that the stock was - even without thinking of covid effects - expensive at the terms proposed, so that if the Tender went through, the shares would fall afterwards, and there was a non-negligible chance the tender did not go through because the Ootoya kabunushi yutai (shareholder benefit) program was reasonably generous. At the time, I argued that the right trade for those who wanted the yutai program to continue was perhaps to sell their shares into the tender and buy Colowide instead, because their kabunushi yutai program was much more generous. From that point, Ootoya fell 35+% and even at a three-month low, Colowide has gained 14% (though from when I wrote that through end-Sep, Colowide was up 50% at times). New news out yesterday improves the chances Ootoya will see its shares bid up again. 

Ootoya - Watch Out For Upside on New Yutai Policy