Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

A highly collaborative investment professional and research analyst with 10+ years of international experience in equity research, treasury operations, and trading positions across multiple asset classes at leading multinational banks Citibank and Morgan Stanley, UHNWI-backed family office and European independent equity research firm. A respectable background in equity capital markets, corporate treasury, investment banking operations, equity research analysis and portfolio management.

Oddity Tech IPO Valuation Analysis: Growth and Profitability, Solid Upside With Limited Risk

Oddity Tech IPO Preview: AI In The Beauty Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Oddity Tech, owner of famous global brands IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild, is growing slower than in 2022 and 2023. The overall growth will slow down to ~20% y/y in 2025.</li>
<li>According to my estimates and SEC filings, private equity firm L Catterton, the largest shareholder, reduced its stake in Oddity Tech to 18.4%, down from ~42% prior to an IPO.</li>
<li>I see ~34% downside risk in Oddity Tech stock as growth will slow down and the company will launch new brands only in the second half of 2025.</li>
</ul>


Oddity Tech, owner of famous global brands IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild, is growing slower than in 2022 and 2023. The overall growth will slow down to ~20% y/y in 2025.
According to my estimates and SEC filings, private equity firm L Catterton, the largest shareholder, reduced its stake in Oddity Tech to 18.4%, down from ~42% prior to an IPO.
I see ~34% downside risk in Oddity Tech stock as growth will slow down and the company will launch new brands only in the second half of 2025.


Oddity Tech: ~34% Downside Risk As Growth Will Slow Down