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Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Rapid denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula is unlikely</li><li>Mutual distrust is high, and America appears unwilling “to buy the same horse twice” to use the expression coined in 2009 by then US Defence Secretary Robert Gates</li><li>He concluded,” I think everyone in the room is familiar with the tactics that the North Koreans use. They create a crisis and the rest of us pay a price to return to the status quo ante.”</li><li>But Kim and Trump might be headstrong enough to inject new dynamism into a process long on hold</li><li>While North Korea is America’s most urgent foreign policy and security issue, China is by far the most important</li><li>China’s overriding strategic interest is in seeing a reduction and eventual elimination of the US military presence in South Korea</li></ul>

Rapid denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula is unlikelyMutual distrust is high, and America appears unwilling “to buy the same horse twice” to use the expression coined in 2009 by then US Defence Secretary Robert GatesHe concluded,” I think everyone in the room is familiar with the tactics that the North Koreans use. They create a crisis and the rest of us pay a price to return to the status quo ante.”But Kim and Trump might be headstrong enough to inject new dynamism into a process long on holdWhile North Korea is America’s most urgent foreign policy and security issue, China is by far the most importantChina’s overriding strategic interest is in seeing a reduction and eventual elimination of the US military presence in South Korea

No Certainty of Nuclear Peace on the Korean Peninsula