Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Renault & Nissan "Agree" On New Terms - A Diet Nothing🍔, Exchangeable into Shaq Fingerguns

Renault & Nissan Deal Done: Still a Trading Nothing🍔 So Far, OK Framework but Need Shaq Fingerguns

Nissan– Dragged Along by the Finance Business

Renault (RNO FP) To Sell Nissan (7201 JP) Shares? Not Yet, and Not Yet Positive Nissan.

Nissan – Limited Upside Till Next FY Starts to Be Priced In

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nissan generated total revenue of ¥2,271bn (-12.0% vs. consensus) and OP of ¥56bn (+33.3% vs. consensus) in 4QFY22. </li>
<li>This enabled the company to hit ¥247bn in OP vs. our start of year projection of ¥250bn (when guidance was for breakeven). </li>
<li>Guidance looked superficially weak at ¥10trn in revenue (-0.4% vs. consensus) and ¥250bn in OP ¥250bn (-21.1% vs. consensus) but margin assumptions are silly and we expect ¥500bn in OP. </li>
</ul>


Nissan generated total revenue of ¥2,271bn (-12.0% vs. consensus) and OP of ¥56bn (+33.3% vs. consensus) in 4QFY22. 
This enabled the company to hit ¥247bn in OP vs. our start of year projection of ¥250bn (when guidance was for breakeven). 
Guidance looked superficially weak at ¥10trn in revenue (-0.4% vs. consensus) and ¥250bn in OP ¥250bn (-21.1% vs. consensus) but margin assumptions are silly and we expect ¥500bn in OP. 


Nissan – Significant Upside But Peers Are Better

Nissan Motor

Nissan – Significant Upside But Peers Are Better