Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Central banks in Developed Markets and Emerging Markets are either cutting, maintaining or hiking their respective policy rates</li>
<li>I introduce an improved Monetary Diffusion Indicator of Normal policy (MDIN) to encapsulate the dispersion of central bank policy globally</li>
<li>The MDIN, which goes back more than five decades and captures roughly 90% of central banks globally in GDP-terms, slipped to 21 in October</li>
</ul>


Central banks in Developed Markets and Emerging Markets are either cutting, maintaining or hiking their respective policy rates
I introduce an improved Monetary Diffusion Indicator of Normal policy (MDIN) to encapsulate the dispersion of central bank policy globally
The MDIN, which goes back more than five decades and captures roughly 90% of central banks globally in GDP-terms, slipped to 21 in October


Macklem, Orr, Gongsheng, Ueda, Bailey, Powell, Lagarde, Nabiullina and MDIN