Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

Li Auto (LI US): 2Q24, Look at Monthly Deliveries, But Not Quarterly Revenue

Li Auto (LI US): Record Sales Volume in Sep and Record Operating Profit in 3Q24

Li Auto (LI US, 2015 HK): Deliveries Surged, But Overvalued Apart from Comparing with Tesla

Li Auto (LI US): 4Q23, High Growth and Profit, A Winner of Market Concentration, Upgraded to Hold

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Operating profit turned negative in 1Q24 compared to 1Q23 due to the price war and the failure of new model.</li>
<li>The company disappeared from the industry top-10 list of sales volume and revenue growth slowed down to zero in April.</li>
<li>All cross-sectional comparisons suggest a Sell rating for the stock.</li>
</ul>


Operating profit turned negative in 1Q24 compared to 1Q23 due to the price war and the failure of new model.
The company disappeared from the industry top-10 list of sales volume and revenue growth slowed down to zero in April.
All cross-sectional comparisons suggest a Sell rating for the stock.


Li Auto (LI US): 1Q24, A List of Bad News