Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Koei Tecmo – Nice on the Surface But We Are Worried

Koei Tecmo (3635 JP) - Complex But Lower Impact Move To Stay in TSE Prime (Buyback+CB Issuance)

Koei Tecmo – Some Nice Signs But Downside Risks Need To Be Priced In First

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Koei Tecmo’s earnings yesterday were on the strong side with 4Q OP beating by 28.7% despite a 1.79% miss at the top line. </li>
<li>Thus, the typical pattern of heavy expensing of development costs in 4Q was missing and combined with some one offs could make hurdles for next year high. </li>
<li>With the stock struggling to gain positive momentum and few clear positive catalysts on the horizon we remain negative.</li>
</ul>


Koei Tecmo’s earnings yesterday were on the strong side with 4Q OP beating by 28.7% despite a 1.79% miss at the top line. 
Thus, the typical pattern of heavy expensing of development costs in 4Q was missing and combined with some one offs could make hurdles for next year high. 
With the stock struggling to gain positive momentum and few clear positive catalysts on the horizon we remain negative.


Koei Tecmo Holdings

Koei Tecmo – Potential For a Breakdown