June ended with one of the worst first half performances for capital markets for decades, representing a serious blow to wealth in that both Bonds and Equities have been hit badly.
We continue to believe that the underlying stress is coming from fixed income markets, which remain the key area to watch as they unwind the excess liquidity pumped into them over a decade of QE and more recently at the start of Covid, when the Fed had to inject liquidity to prevent a run on the whole fixed income ETF complex.
At the end of May/beginning of June we saw a few signs of stabilisation only to see them unwind rapidly in the first half of the month.
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