'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

Former Japan Equity PM with over 30 of experience now providing database-driven analysis of the market, sectors, peer groups and stocks for LightStream Research.

Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, and the related Japan Analytics iPad App, we provide insights on companies are often ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on the market overall.

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 10/​​​​01 - Fail Over Fail, Nagaileben, Daiseki, Kewpie

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions - 10/​​​​​​05 Fuji, Weathernews, Create SD, Daikin, Coca Cola Japan

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions - 10/​​​​​​​06 -  SAN-A, AEON Mall, Consumer Electronics Retailers

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/25 - HIS, Mimasu (& SUMCO), Nitori, SG, & Alps Alpine Revises▲!

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​29 - Home Centres <> Depāto, Sugi, Mitsubishi Materials, Koito

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​28 - Shimamura, On Yer [Asahi] Bike!, Heiwado, Stanley & Aisan

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Japan Consumer discretionary / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p></div><div>
<p>Our best and worst pair is child apparel specialist <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nishimatsuya-chain-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13375:1" rel="noopener">Nishimatsuya Chain (7545 JP)</a> and food ingredients maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/riken-vitamin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20980:1" rel="noopener">Riken Vitamin (4526 JP)</a>. </p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/162/836/original/2020-10-01_06-09-42.png?1601500212" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="162836"></figure><div class="content-caption">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/162/837/original/2020-10-01_06-13-47.png?1601500441" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="162837"></figure><p>Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</p>
</div>
<hr>
<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>DAILY STATS</strong></p></div>
<hr>
<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>20 Quarterly Results</strong></p></div>
<div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><p><strong>Results Score:</strong> 30% Positive / 10% Neutral / 60% Negative</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Results Score Change:</strong> -1.9 points</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average % Change in Revenue:</strong> -7.5% Quarter YoY / -9.9% Rolling TTM YoY </p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Operating Profit Margin Change:</strong> -10.1ppt</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Percentage Making Quarterly Losses:</strong> 20%</p></li>
</ul></div>
<hr>
<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>15 Annual • 7 Interim Forecasts/Revisions</strong></p></div>
<div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><p>Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 35% Positive / 6% Neutral / 59% Negative</p></li>
<li><p>Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 60% Positive / 0% Neutral / 40% Negative</p></li>
<li><p>Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: +0.6 points</p></li>
</ul></div>
</div>

• BEST &amp; WORST •
Our best and worst pair is child apparel specialist Nishimatsuya Chain (7545 JP) and food ingredients maker Riken Vitamin (4526 JP). 

Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics


DAILY STATS

20 Quarterly Results

Results Score: 30% Positive / 10% Neutral / 60% Negative
Average Results Score Change: -1.9 points
Average % Change in Revenue: -7.5% Quarter YoY / -9.9% Rolling TTM YoY 
Average Operating Profit Margin Change: -10.1ppt
Percentage Making Quarterly Losses: 20%


15 Annual • 7 Interim Forecasts/Revisions

Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 35% Positive / 6% Neutral / 59% Negative
Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 60% Positive / 0% Neutral / 40% Negative
Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: +0.6 points



🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​30 - Nishimatsuya Chain, Adastria, Strike, Riken Vitamin

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​30 - Nishimatsuya Chain, Adastria, Strike, Riken Vitamin

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/30 - Nishimatsuya Chain, Adastria, Strike, Riken Vitamin