Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

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Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Latest FOMC meeting sounded 'surprising' dovish, but this is less surprising if we consider the US Fed is only six months away from a probable policy pivot
</li>
<li>Evidence seems to confirm the US and World economies are already in recession. This will get worse because a major Global Liquidity shock has already been delivered </li>
<li>This looks like a bear market rally. Bears have two down-legs, split by an often vicious spike.  Effects of a bigger recession on 2H, 2022 profits needs to be discounted</li>
</ul>


Latest FOMC meeting sounded 'surprising' dovish, but this is less surprising if we consider the US Fed is only six months away from a probable policy pivot

Evidence seems to confirm the US and World economies are already in recession. This will get worse because a major Global Liquidity shock has already been delivered 
This looks like a bear market rally. Bears have two down-legs, split by an often vicious spike.  Effects of a bigger recession on 2H, 2022 profits needs to be discounted


Is The US Fed Tightening Into A Big Recession?