Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Mr. Bhaskaran is a leading Asian economist based in Singapore with more than 30 years of experience in studying economic, political and security issues that shape the business environment in Asia. He co-ordinates the Asian business of Washington DC-based strategic advisory firm, Centennial Group, directing its Asian economic research practice which provides in-depth analysis of macro trends in Asia. He works extensively with investment institutions, government agencies and corporations. Mr. Bhaskaran regularly presents his views on the economic, political and business environment in Asia at business conferences and in-house briefings. He has conducted studies on a wide range of subjects including: consumer finance in Asia; Asian integration; regional and country-specific political and economic outlooks; the Impact of China on Asia; portfolio capital flows in emerging markets, amongst many others. He is as a member of the Regional Advisory Group for Asia and the Pacific of the International Monetary Fund. Mr. Bhaskaran is a regular columnist for The Edge (Singapore) and holds positions in think tanks including being Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS); Vice President of the Economics Society of Singapore, and Council Member of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA). Mr. Bhaskaran serves on the boards of CIMB Investment Bank and Japfa Limited.

Asia Economist and CEO

Financial Market Risks Could Worsen as a Strong Global Economy Leads to Tighter Policies

Global Economic Growth: Could We Have Too Much of a Good Thing?

Growth Is Good Yet the US Could Be a Growing Risk to the Rest of the World

Six Emerging Trends with Great Implications

Global Economy: Strength Evident, Now Watch for Inflation and Investment

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgraded global growth forecasts by 0.2 percentage points to 3.9% for both 2018 and 2019 but our view is that global growth could be even stronger than what the IMF thinks. Across the G3 advanced economies, capital spending is ramping up, hiring is more robust and lead indicators are trending higher.</li><li>If the downside risks to growth abate but the risk of inflation increases, it is only a matter of time before we get a more pronounced shift in policy makers’ priorities towards battling inflation and financial stability risks rather than worrying about growth.</li></ul>

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgraded global growth forecasts by 0.2 percentage points to 3.9% for both 2018 and 2019 but our view is that global growth could be even stronger than what the IMF thinks. Across the G3 advanced economies, capital spending is ramping up, hiring is more robust and lead indicators are trending higher.If the downside risks to growth abate but the risk of inflation increases, it is only a matter of time before we get a more pronounced shift in policy makers’ priorities towards battling inflation and financial stability risks rather than worrying about growth.

Is Global Growth Too Strong for Comfort?