Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Highly experienced ex-Delta One trader with 17 years of experience trading arbitrage and related strategies across Asian markets.

Exempt Financial Adviser (EFA) under CrossASEAN Research Pte Ltd.

It is important to note that the information provided by Periscope Analytics is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and synthesized from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions.

All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include, but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, ETF and other passive investment vehicle holdings, and free float and volume data from third-party data providers. Periscope Analytics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates and/or other information.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

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HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Fair Value Update & CNOOC/Sunac/JD.com Adjustments

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

HSCEI Dividend Futures: Stay Short the 2022/23 Steepener

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Bifurcated Chinese Express Market Developing

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>Last evening <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> announced a special div of HK$1.18/share - that is higher than market expectations. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> could announce a special div next week.</li>
<li>Fair value for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures moves higher to 250 DIPS off the back of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd</a>'s special div and the estimated <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> special div.</li>
<li>The HSCEI 2022/23 steepener had dropped to -29 yesterday and should drop even lower today where we could see some covering.</li>
</ul>


Last evening CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) announced a special div of HK$1.18/share - that is higher than market expectations. JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) could announce a special div next week.
Fair value for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures moves higher to 250 DIPS off the back of CNOOC Ltd's special div and the estimated JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) special div.
The HSCEI 2022/23 steepener had dropped to -29 yesterday and should drop even lower today where we could see some covering.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: CNOOC Special Drives 2022 Fair Value Higher, 22/23 Steepener Lower