Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Former head of a $20 bn Investment Portfolio and passionate global macro investor. I write The Macro Compass, a financial newsletter providing actionable investment ideas & unique macroeconomic insights to enhance the risk/return of your portfolio

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Markets have moved sharply year-to-date, and in one clear direction: short Cathie Wood and Bitcoin, long cyclicals (banks &amp; oil)</li><li>There are good macro reasons for the downside move in high-beta, high-multiples but much less so for the long cyclical move to continue its upside move</li><li>My credit impulse metric suggests earnings and inflation are going to disappoint consensus</li></ul>

Markets have moved sharply year-to-date, and in one clear direction: short Cathie Wood and Bitcoin, long cyclicals (banks &amp; oil)There are good macro reasons for the downside move in high-beta, high-multiples but much less so for the long cyclical move to continue its upside moveMy credit impulse metric suggests earnings and inflation are going to disappoint consensus

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT US)

How To Trade This Market Eruption