This short article will focus on answering a very relevant question: ok, recession, but is it already priced in?
Over the last few weeks we kept hearing a recession has become consensus amongst analysts and market pundits, and onboarding consensus macro views at the wrong price in one’s portfolio can be a very expensive exercises.
But we can do much more than rely on hearsay. Using different techniques, we can test to what extent a recession is priced in both in bonds and equity markets and derive actionable conclusions.
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