Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Victor Galliano is an experienced equity banks analyst, having covered Latin America banks and non-bank financials for over 12 years, as well as more recently covering the Italian banks. He has worked in sell side equity research for 30 years in a career spanning Barclays, HSBC, BBVA LatInvest, Barings and NatWest.
Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.
The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Financials & FinTech research

Brazil Banks - Market Concerns Overdone, with the Banco Do Brasil (BBAS3 BZ) Strengths Under-Rated

Banco Do Brasil (BBAS3 BZ): CEO Resignation, near Term Downside, but How Much Is Already Discounted?

Turkey – Erdogan Creates More Market Turbulence, Again

EM Banks Through the Credit Quality and Value Lens

Brazil Banks YE2020 Snapshot II: Banco Do Brasil (BBAS3 BZ) Fair Credit Quality, Positive on Capital

Banorte(GFNORTEO MM): Triple Hit in 4Q20 Lays the Foundation for Healthy Dividend Resumption in 2021

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We screen the 4Q20 results for credit quality and value, of those GEM banks that have reported to date</li>
<li>Specifically we identify <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credicorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25963:1" rel="noopener">Credicorp Ltd (BAP US)</a> in Peru as a banking group well placed to benefit from recovery in 2021; its credit quality metrics are sound and high quality, and it is an attractive GARP choice</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grupo-financiero-banorte-o" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24780:1" rel="noopener">Grupo Financiero Banorte-O (GFNORTEO MF)</a> screens well, in our view, from both credit quality metrics and value parameters</li>
<li>Despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-do-brasil-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24564:1" rel="noopener">Banco Do Brasil Sa (BBAS3 BZ)</a>’s healthy credit quality metrics, this is now overshadowed by corporate governance concerns for Brazil SOEs following the Petrobras CEO’s abrupt removal</li>
<li>Outside LatAm, select private sector Indian banks seem to screen well on credit quality, but valuations are demanding; public sector bank <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/state-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:160:1" rel="noopener">State Bank Of India (SBIN IN)</a> is the deep value but relatively high risk name in India. An alternative higher risk GEM bank on attractive valuations is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/turkiye-garanti-bankasi-as" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25026:1" rel="noopener">Turkiye Garanti Bankasi As (GARAN TI)</a> in Turkey</li>
<li>Risks to our positive view on Credicorp include increased political uncertainty in Peru, as well as a weaker than expected recovery leading to worsen than expected credit quality  and weak loan growth</li>
</ul>


We screen the 4Q20 results for credit quality and value, of those GEM banks that have reported to date
Specifically we identify Credicorp Ltd (BAP US) in Peru as a banking group well placed to benefit from recovery in 2021; its credit quality metrics are sound and high quality, and it is an attractive GARP choice

Grupo Financiero Banorte-O (GFNORTEO MF) screens well, in our view, from both credit quality metrics and value parameters
Despite Banco Do Brasil Sa (BBAS3 BZ)’s healthy credit quality metrics, this is now overshadowed by corporate governance concerns for Brazil SOEs following the Petrobras CEO’s abrupt removal
Outside LatAm, select private sector Indian banks seem to screen well on credit quality, but valuations are demanding; public sector bank State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) is the deep value but relatively high risk name in India. An alternative higher risk GEM bank on attractive valuations is Turkiye Garanti Bankasi As (GARAN TI) in Turkey
Risks to our positive view on Credicorp include increased political uncertainty in Peru, as well as a weaker than expected recovery leading to worsen than expected credit quality  and weak loan growth


Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d (GFNORTEO MF)

GEM Bank Credit Quality and Value Screens; the 4Q20 Story so Far