Rising uncertainty about the economic outlook and investors' lack of understanding about quantitative tightening (QT) have raised concerns of unintended and excessive US monetary tightening.
Disintermediation by households is putting downward pressure on bank reserves via direct cash purchases of T-bills due to unattractive returns on certificates of deposits.
The US debt ceiling impasse raises the prospect of QT being neutralised as depletion of the Treasury's General Account at the Fed is offset by an increase in bank reserves.
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