bullish

Ant Group

ECM Weekly (6 September 2020) - Ant Group, Blue Moon, Ming Yuan Cloud, A-City, Yum China

360 Views06 Sep 2020 13:19
SUMMARY

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.


We were mostly busy with placements this week. Hong Kong alone had four placements, another two in Australia, and one coming soon in Singapore. They were a mix of primary and secondary placements, and considering how markets have traded towards the end of the week, these placements were timely. We covered them in:

For IPOs, next week, Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) and Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK) will start trading in Hong Kong. Recall that valuation for Nongfu wasn't cheap by Sumeet Singh's assessment but investors get what they pay for; a reputable and stable business. Further to that, considering the lack of close comps, it will be interesting to see where it eventually trades at. Whereas, Yum China's bookbuild closed early, suggesting strong demand.

For upcoming IPOs, China Resources property management arm, CR Mixc Lifestyle, and Cheerwin Group filed for their draft prospectus for expecting to raise about US$1bn and US$300m in their IPO, respectively. We are also hearing Ant Financial (1051260D CH) is looking to seek approval by the end of the month whereas Ming Yuan Cloud Group (MYCG HK) has sought approval on Friday. There were also news that Didi Chuxing is considering a Hong Kong IPO that could raise up to $500m.

In Malaysia, we are hearing that MR D.I.Y. Group (1706769D MK) will be pre-marketing its IPO next week. We have covered the IPO earlier in and we will share our thoughts on the updated filing when it is available. In Thailand, there were reports that SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) is targeting to launch its US$1.5bn IPO next month.


Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 73.1% for IPOs and 66.2% for Placements

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings this week

  • CR Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited (Hong Kong, ~US$1bn)
  • Cheerwin Group Limited (Hong Kong, ~US$300m)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPOs

NameInsight
Hong Kong
Ant GroupAnt Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO First-Take: No. 1 Fintech from All Angles
Ant GroupAnt Group (蚂蚁集团) IPO: Numbers Suggest It's More Tech than Financials
Ant GroupAnt Group (蚂蚁集团) Pre-IPO: Things to Clarify/Questions to Ask - Falling Fees, Margins, Cash Flow
Ant GroupAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
Ant GroupAnt Financial (蚂蚁金服) IPO Early Thought: What's New About the Listing News
Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Dominant Market Share, Strong Online Sales

Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Flagging Offline Sales, Not Really a Primary Raising

Blue Moon

Blue Moon: No. 1 But No Exclusive Advantage, Observation on the Ground

Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - Online Reviews and Peer Comparison

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: How Has It Done in 1H?

ByteDance

ByteDance: The Unlisted Company’s Video Apps Leading the Market and Threatening Internet Giants

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO - Globally the Most Downloaded App for Jan 2020 Driven by India

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Global Ambition Meets Regulatory Challenges

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Better Disclosure in New Prospectus

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Still Largely Reliant on Galaxy, Poor Disclosure Doesn’t Help

Excellence Comm

Excellence Commercial Property (卓越商企服务) Pre-IPO - Diversifying Away from Excellence Group

Everest Med

Everest Medicines (云顶新耀) Pre-IPO: License-In Specialist Led by Biotech Investors

Genor

Genor (嘉和生物) Pre-IPO: Slow R&D Progress in the past but that Might Change

Huazhu

Huazhu HK Secondary Listing - Early Look - Needs the Cash More than Most Secondary Candidates

Jiayuan Svcs

Jiayuan Services (佳源服务) Pre-IPO - Another Small Property Management Company

Jinke Svcs

Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) Pre-IPO - GFA Growth at the Expense of Fees

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - Rapid Earnings Growth on the Back of Margin Improvement

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - A Lot of Things Still Remain Unexplained

KWG Living

KWG Living (合景悠活) Pre-IPO - Strong Growth and Margin Expansion but Overly Reliant on KWG Group

MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Remarkable Growth (Part 1)
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - A Bet on the Future - Segments, Revenue Drivers and Growth Potential
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - The Real Race Is in Research - Founders' Profile and Talent
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Competitive Landscape and Peer Analysis
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation
MIngyuan CloudMing Yuan Cloud (明源云) Pre-IPO - Leaning on Regional Partners for Growth but Hefty Commissions Paid
NeusoftNeusoft Edu (东软教育) Pre-IPO: Long Established Name on IT Education
OcumensionOcumension (欧康维视) Pre-IPO: All Ready for a Great Listing Except a Block Buster
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Is It a Brand Owner or Just a Retailer?
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - Expanding Portfolio+Wider Distribution= Explosive Earnings Growth
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO - Peer Set and Valuation
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO Quick Note - On the Ground - Pop-Up Stores Are Effective
RadianceRadiance Holdings (金辉控股) Pre-IPO - Property Mgt Svc Sold Out at a Ridiculously Cheap Valuation
Shimao SvcsShimao Services (世茂服务) Pre-IPO - Community VAS Segment Is the Star
Sunac SvcsSunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO - Promising Growth & Diversifying Away from Sunac Via Acquisitions
RemeGenRemeGen (荣昌生物) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation of RC18 and RC48
SimcereSimcere (先声制药) Pre-IPO: Long History but Products Concentrated
ToplistToplist China Pre-IPO - Overwhelmingly More Negatives than Positives
TaslyTasly Biopharm (天士力生物) IPO: Visible Growth from Approved Drug but Lacks Blockbusters
Weihai BankWeihai City Commercial Bank Pre-IPO - More of an Asset Manager Rather than a Lender
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor
India
ASKASK Investment Managers Pre-IPO - Riding on a Wave of Wealth
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotel

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers

Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Has Been Growing Fast and Plans to Grow Even Faster

Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison Yields Interesting Nuggets on Profitability and Capex

Bajaj En

Bajaj Energy Pre-IPO - Supposed to Deliver Steady Performance if Only Its Sole Client Would Let It

CAMSCAMS Pre-IPO - Quasi Monopoly Status Muddled by Inconsistent Performance
CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
ESAF SFBESAF Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Remains Highly Dependant on a Related Party
Equitas SFBEquitas Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Another Forced Small Finance Bank Listing
Equitas SFBEquitas Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Another Forced Small Finance Bank Listing
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country
Emami CemEmami Cement Pre-IPO - Still in Ramp Up Phase but Shares Pledge Might Lead to an Early IPO
IRFCIndian Railway Finance Pre-IPO - Low Risk, Low Margin Business
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
MazagonMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

LIC

Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Early Take on India's Largest IPO

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
Penna CemPenna Cement - Aggressive Expansion Plans Even Though Past Performance Has Been Tepid
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take - Doesn't Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Samhi HotelsSamhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Assets and Borrowings Are Growing, but Earnings Haven’t Kept Pace
UTI AMC

UTI Asset Management Company Pre-IPO - Well past Its Remote Glory Days

Malaysia
Mr DIYMr D.I.Y. Pre-IPO - Largest Home Improvement Retailer in Malaysia
Mr DIYMr D.I.Y. Pre-IPO - Store Walk-Through and Thoughts on Value Proposition
Mr DIYMr D.I.Y. Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Small Stores with Dominant Market Share
Mr DIYMr D.I.Y. Pre-IPO - Assumptions and Thoughts on Valuation
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food
Thailand
PTTORPTT Oil and Retail IPO - F&B Business Is the Profit Driver
SCGPSCGP Pre-IPO - Shift to Packaging Has Been Aiding Margins but Acquisition Drove up Leverage
The U.S
CDPCDP Holdings Pre-IPO Review - Highly Reliant on Best Inc.
CloudMindsCloudMinds Inc Early Thoughts - Still Nascent
Japan
KioxiaKioxia IPO Early Thought: Inventor of the NAND Flash
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