bullish

ECM Weekly (6 December 2020) - Blue Moon Group, Pop Mart, HBM, Burger King India, and More

375 Views06 Dec 2020 11:36
SUMMARY

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.


Starting off with IPOs in Hong Kong first, Harbour Biomed (2142 HK), POP MART (POP HK), and Blue Moon Group Holdings (BMG HK) opened their bookbuild on Monday (for the former two) and Friday, respectively, whereas we are hearing that Netjoy (NETJOY HK) and Sino-Ocean Service (1827597D HK) will be coming next week. Pop Mart closed its bookbuild a day early, citing strong demand.

In India, Burger King India (BKI IN) finally launched its IPO, more than a year after it filed its Draft Red Herring Prospectus. While the company was not offered at a cheap valuation, it still has a long growth runway. Sumeet Singh also took the chance to visit some of Brookfield India Real Estate Trust (BIREIT IN) properties.

In the U.S, Ke Yan, CFA, FRM covered 17 Education and Technology (YQ US) valuation which we thought didn't exactly stand out in terms of growth and had the worst cost structure. Sumeet Singh took some time off looking at APAC IPOs to understand the Airbnb Inc (9865065Z US) and shared his thoughts in:

For trading debuts this week, Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) traded flat which was well within expectations. What was surprising was the fact that the company/bookrunners looked to close books a few hours early last week to maybe draw out some FOMO bids by maybe implying that demand was strong. But in actual fact, as per our trading note, demand wasn't great.

17 Education and Technology (YQ US) traded higher intraday but closed just 0.7% above deal price whereas Nuix (NXL AU) closed about 50.8% higher than its IPO price. Nuix will probably still need some time to find its footing since Friday's trading was on a deferred settlement basis whereas settlement will happen coming Monday and normal settlement trading will begin the day after.

Last, but not least, there had been a surge in placement/follow-on offering by companies and shareholders. The common theme across these deals had been that they were mostly opportunistic. Shareholders looked to cash in on their positions whereas companies sought to lock in more cash as share price traded higher.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 73.4% for IPOs and 66.3% for Placements

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings this week

  • China Youran Dairy (Hong Kong, US$100m)
Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPOs

NameInsight
Hong Kong
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: How Has It Done in 1H?

ByteDance

ByteDance: The Unlisted Company’s Video Apps Leading the Market and Threatening Internet Giants

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO - Globally the Most Downloaded App for Jan 2020 Driven by India

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Global Ambition Meets Regulatory Challenges

Dida

Dida Pre-IPO - Making Hay While Big Brother Retreats

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Better Disclosure in New Prospectus

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Still Largely Reliant on Galaxy, Poor Disclosure Doesn’t Help

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - Rapid Earnings Growth on the Back of Margin Improvement

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - A Lot of Things Still Remain Unexplained

Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, Fast Growth

Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ample Doubts Remain

MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Remarkable Growth (Part 1)
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - A Bet on the Future - Segments, Revenue Drivers and Growth Potential
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - The Real Race Is in Research - Founders' Profile and Talent
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Competitive Landscape and Peer Analysis
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation
OcumensionOcumension (欧康维视) Pre-IPO: All Ready for a Great Listing Except a Block Buster
RemeGenRemeGen (荣昌生物) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation of RC18 and RC48
ToplistToplist China Pre-IPO - Overwhelmingly More Negatives than Positives
TaslyTasly Biopharm (天士力生物) IPO: Visible Growth from Approved Drug but Lacks Blockbusters
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor
India
ASKASK Investment Managers Pre-IPO - Riding on a Wave of Wealth
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotel

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers

Brookfields REIT

Brookfields India Real Estate Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives- Provides Different Geographic Exposure

Brookfields REIT

Brookfields India Real Estate Trust Pre-IPO- The Negatives- Asset Details Leave Questions Unanswered

Bajaj En

Bajaj Energy Pre-IPO - Supposed to Deliver Steady Performance if Only Its Sole Client Would Let It

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
ESAF SFBESAF Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Remains Highly Dependant on a Related Party
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country
Emami CemEmami Cement Pre-IPO - Still in Ramp Up Phase but Shares Pledge Might Lead to an Early IPO
IRFCIndian Railway Finance Pre-IPO - Low Risk, Low Margin Business
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

LIC

Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Early Take on India's Largest IPO

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
Penna CemPenna Cement - Aggressive Expansion Plans Even Though Past Performance Has Been Tepid
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take - Doesn't Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Samhi HotelsSamhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Assets and Borrowings Are Growing, but Earnings Haven’t Kept Pace
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food
Thailand
PTTORPTT Oil and Retail IPO - F&B Business Is the Profit Driver
The U.S
CDPCDP Holdings Pre-IPO Review - Highly Reliant on Best Inc.
CloudMindsCloudMinds Inc Early Thoughts - Still Nascent
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