bullish

Ant Group

ECM Weekly (1 November 2020) - Ant Group, Sunac Services, New Oriental HK, Bio-Thera

401 Views01 Nov 2020 11:23
SUMMARY

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.


Ant Group (6688 HK) debuts this coming Thursday. It had a massive US$35bn (A+H) deal size and proportionately humongous demand of US$3 trillion (mostly from the STAR board tranche) from retail investors. Hong Kong books were also said to have been covered an hour after launch with multiple investors placing more than US$1bn of order. This week, we look at valuation at IPO price, index inclusion impacts, STAR board trading stats, and A/H spread.

For other upcoming IPOs, Remegen Ltd (1788976D CH) launched its IPO bookbuild this week and it is expected to list the week after, on November 9. The IPO boasts a long list of reputable, long-only cornerstone investors. Books closed early and were reported to be multiple times covered. As for secondary listings, New Oriental Education (EDU US) filed its PHIP and launched its US$1.44bn bookbuild. It will start trading on the 9th of November whereas GDS Holdings (ADR) (GDS US) which launched last week, will trade tomorrow.

This week's Property Management Services listings had been disappointing. They will likely set a weak tone for other upcoming IPOs, Jinke Smart Services (JKS HK) and Sunac Services Holdings (1820476D HK), which have both filed their PHIP with HKEX. Hopefully, we get to see the deals launch at more palatable valuation.

We also heard that Kuaishou will file its draft prospectus on HKEX in this week and Antengene (ANGENE HK) is looking to premarket its IPO next week.

For pipeline IPOs, there had been news reporting that PCCW Ltd (8 HK)'s Viu International OTT is working towards a US listing that could raise about US$200m. In Malaysia, Smart Glove hired banks to work towards a potential US$200 IPO whereas, in India, Gland Pharma plans to launch its US$900m in November.

For other listings this week, Singapore finally got a win (considering a sea of red in global markets on Friday) with Nanofilm Technologies International (NANO SP) closing 12% above IPO price on its trading debut. Lufax Holdings (LU US), on the hand, closed 4% below IPO price.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 73.4% for IPOs and 66.4% for Placements

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

No new IPO filings this week

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPOs

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AntengeneAntengene (德琪医药) Pre-IPO: Proven R&D Track Record by Founder Matters
Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Dominant Market Share, Strong Online Sales

Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Flagging Offline Sales, Not Really a Primary Raising

Blue Moon

Blue Moon: No. 1 But No Exclusive Advantage, Observation on the Ground

Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - Online Reviews and Peer Comparison

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: How Has It Done in 1H?

ByteDance

ByteDance: The Unlisted Company’s Video Apps Leading the Market and Threatening Internet Giants

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO - Globally the Most Downloaded App for Jan 2020 Driven by India

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Global Ambition Meets Regulatory Challenges

Dida

Dida Pre-IPO - Making Hay While Big Brother Retreats

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Better Disclosure in New Prospectus

E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Still Largely Reliant on Galaxy, Poor Disclosure Doesn’t Help

Jiayuan Svcs

Jiayuan Services (佳源服务) Pre-IPO - Another Small Property Management Company

Jinke Svcs

Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) Pre-IPO - GFA Growth at the Expense of Fees

Jinke Svcs

Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Early Thoughts on Valuation

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - Rapid Earnings Growth on the Back of Margin Improvement

Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - A Lot of Things Still Remain Unexplained

MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Remarkable Growth (Part 1)
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - A Bet on the Future - Segments, Revenue Drivers and Growth Potential
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - The Real Race Is in Research - Founders' Profile and Talent
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Competitive Landscape and Peer Analysis
MegviiMegvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation
OcumensionOcumension (欧康维视) Pre-IPO: All Ready for a Great Listing Except a Block Buster
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Is It a Brand Owner or Just a Retailer?
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - Expanding Portfolio+Wider Distribution= Explosive Earnings Growth
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO - Peer Set and Valuation
Pop MartPop Mart Pre-IPO Quick Note - On the Ground - Pop-Up Stores Are Effective
Sunac SvcsSunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO - Promising Growth & Diversifying Away from Sunac Via Acquisitions
Sunac SvcsSunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and PHIP Updates
RemeGenRemeGen (荣昌生物) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation of RC18 and RC48
SimcereSimcere (先声制药) Pre-IPO: Long History but Products Concentrated
ToplistToplist China Pre-IPO - Overwhelmingly More Negatives than Positives
TaslyTasly Biopharm (天士力生物) IPO: Visible Growth from Approved Drug but Lacks Blockbusters
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More
WeDoctorWeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor
India
ASKASK Investment Managers Pre-IPO - Riding on a Wave of Wealth
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotel

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers

Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Has Been Growing Fast and Plans to Grow Even Faster

Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison Yields Interesting Nuggets on Profitability and Capex

Bajaj En

Bajaj Energy Pre-IPO - Supposed to Deliver Steady Performance if Only Its Sole Client Would Let It

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
ESAF SFBESAF Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Remains Highly Dependant on a Related Party
Equitas SFBEquitas Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Another Forced Small Finance Bank Listing
Equitas SFBEquitas Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Another Forced Small Finance Bank Listing
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country
Emami CemEmami Cement Pre-IPO - Still in Ramp Up Phase but Shares Pledge Might Lead to an Early IPO
IRFCIndian Railway Finance Pre-IPO - Low Risk, Low Margin Business
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

LIC

Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Early Take on India's Largest IPO

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
Penna CemPenna Cement - Aggressive Expansion Plans Even Though Past Performance Has Been Tepid
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take - Doesn't Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Samhi HotelsSamhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Assets and Borrowings Are Growing, but Earnings Haven’t Kept Pace
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food
Thailand
PTTORPTT Oil and Retail IPO - F&B Business Is the Profit Driver
The U.S
CDPCDP Holdings Pre-IPO Review - Highly Reliant on Best Inc.
CloudMindsCloudMinds Inc Early Thoughts - Still Nascent
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