FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Greg has had a long career in foreign exchange, beginning at the Reserve Bank of Australia in 1989.  He was the first economics graduate at the Bank to be assigned to the foreign exchange dealing desk. Greg learnt from highly respected stewards of policy and market development at the Bank.  He played a leading role in establishing the Bank’s approach to asset and currency management of its international reserves, and managed the Bank's Japanese bond portfolio for a year before joining the private sector in 1995.

In October 2015, Greg launched his own FX research company, Amplifying Global FX Capital, after completing duties at the Royal Bank of Scotland in Singapore where he was the Head of Asia Pacific Markets Strategy since February 2014.  His flagship  report (AmpGFX) is available here on SmartKarma.

He has maintained a trading track record since March 2013. The results are very good over this period. There have been significant macro developments that suit his approach to markets. He is now managing his own capital and will often have positions in the markets that he is writing about in his AmpGFX report.

For a detailed biography and trading performance analysis head to the ampGFXcapital.com website.

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

ECB maintained its aggressive accommodative monetary policy to drive home the advantage now that its economic growth and inflation outlook have improved.  ECB President Draghi struck a dovish tone seeing the recent rise in headline inflation as transitory and remaining focused on the more subdued core inflation, remaining excess capacity and ongoing financial sector repair.  The low negative interest rates and the prospect of falling real interest rates should keep the EUR relatively weak.The UK press continues to view Brexit uncertainty as a glass half-empty, handwringing over the how the UK will cope without the comfort of the single market; in a typically British manner.  As such we see scope for the mood to improve and confidence to build in the optimistic and inclusive open trade vision offered by UK PM May.   EU export growth to the UK has grown much more than UK trade to the EU in recent years, leaving the UK with a growing goods trade deficit with the EU.  UK trade volume with the EU will decline, but surely it will also rise with the rest of the world, providing an offset.  Fear is paramount in the financial services sector, but global financial services firms are unlikely to rush to the door until they have a very good reason.  In the meantime, the UK economy appears to be benefiting from the weaker GBP, generating robust growth and higher inflation expectations.  Should the EU attempt to punish the UK in negotiations, they too will suffer, suggesting calmer minds will prevail in the end.

ECB maintained its aggressive accommodative monetary policy to drive home the advantage now that its economic growth and inflation outlook have improved.  ECB President Draghi struck a dovish tone seeing the recent rise in headline inflation as transitory and remaining focused on the more subdued core inflation, remaining excess capacity and ongoing financial sector repair.  The low negative interest rates and the prospect of falling real interest rates should keep the EUR relatively weak.The UK press continues to view Brexit uncertainty as a glass half-empty, handwringing over the how the UK will cope without the comfort of the single market; in a typically British manner.  As such we see scope for the mood to improve and confidence to build in the optimistic and inclusive open trade vision offered by UK PM May.   EU export growth to the UK has grown much more than UK trade to the EU in recent years, leaving the UK with a growing goods trade deficit with the EU.  UK trade volume with the EU will decline, but surely it will also rise with the rest of the world, providing an offset.  Fear is paramount in the financial services sector, but global financial services firms are unlikely to rush to the door until they have a very good reason.  In the meantime, the UK economy appears to be benefiting from the weaker GBP, generating robust growth and higher inflation expectations.  Should the EU attempt to punish the UK in negotiations, they too will suffer, suggesting calmer minds will prevail in the end.

ECB Keep Pedal to the Metal, Time to Pep up Britain