Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

A highly collaborative investment professional and research analyst with 10+ years of international experience in equity research, treasury operations, and trading positions across multiple asset classes at leading multinational banks Citibank and Morgan Stanley, UHNWI-backed family office and European independent equity research firm. A respectable background in equity capital markets, corporate treasury, investment banking operations, equity research analysis and portfolio management.

Duolingo: Rich Valuation and Limited Upside Despite Better Than Expected 3QFY23 Results

Duolingo. User Growth And Cash Flow Metrics Remain Robust. Management Raised FY22 Guidance

Duolingo: Now, Available In China. Plenty of Positives and Strong Operating Metrics

Duolingo: Category Leader of Online Language Learning; 30%+ Upside

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Duolingo shares have outperformed in 2023, with shares up ~115% over the year versus ~26% gain on the Nasdaq. The company priced its IPO at $102 a share in 2021.</li>
<li>EdTech unicorn achieved the highest-ever MAUs and DAUs in 2QFY23, while paid subscribers reached 5.2M, ~7% of MAUs. Management raised top-line and profitability guidance for FY23. </li>
<li>With a market cap of ~$7.4B on a fully diluted basis, Duolingo shares trade at ~13x and ~10x EV/Rev on my FY23/FY24 estimates, a significant premium to comparable companies.</li>
</ul>


Duolingo shares have outperformed in 2023, with shares up ~115% over the year versus ~26% gain on the Nasdaq. The company priced its IPO at $102 a share in 2021.
EdTech unicorn achieved the highest-ever MAUs and DAUs in 2QFY23, while paid subscribers reached 5.2M, ~7% of MAUs. Management raised top-line and profitability guidance for FY23. 
With a market cap of ~$7.4B on a fully diluted basis, Duolingo shares trade at ~13x and ~10x EV/Rev on my FY23/FY24 estimates, a significant premium to comparable companies.


Duolingo Valuation Update: Year-End Profit Taking Is Likely As ARR Growth Is Slowing Down