HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience with focuses on China transport, infrastructure, industrials and utilities sectors. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, accumulated nearly 20 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities. 

Osbert has received votes from top-tier institutional investors and has been a highly-ranked transport and infrastructure analyst in the Asiamoney, Institutional Investors and Greenwich surveys. In addition to his extensive experience with international investment banks including RBS, ABN AMRO (both served as Shanghai Chief Representative), Paribas Asia Equity, Maybank Kim Eng and DBS Securities, he has been a senior analyst with Moody’s Investors Service with focus on ratings of China infrastructure and related LGFV issuers. He has also worked in the area of strategic development at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited. 

Osbert holds a BBA from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin and a MSSc in Applied Psychology from the City University of Hong Kong. He was accredited with the CFA charter in 1997, and is a member of both British Psychological Society and Hong Kong Psychological Society.

Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): What Is Driving It Crazy?

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): We See an Opportunity

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Finding a Bottom

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> showed encouraging QoQ improvements in profit trend, margins, new orders, and operating cash flow in 3Q24, though reported profit was still down in 9M24.</li>
<li>Cost control has contributed to 4.6pp QoQ gross margin expansion. Meanwhile, new order growth has accelerated to 63.8% YoY, from just a teens level in 1Q24 and 2Q24.</li>
<li>Our estimate suggests that backlog is enough to cover 1.9x its annual revenue, enhancing visibility. Its PER, dividend yield and P/B are all standing on attractive levels.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) showed encouraging QoQ improvements in profit trend, margins, new orders, and operating cash flow in 3Q24, though reported profit was still down in 9M24.
Cost control has contributed to 4.6pp QoQ gross margin expansion. Meanwhile, new order growth has accelerated to 63.8% YoY, from just a teens level in 1Q24 and 2Q24.
Our estimate suggests that backlog is enough to cover 1.9x its annual revenue, enhancing visibility. Its PER, dividend yield and P/B are all standing on attractive levels.


Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Sequential Improvement Masked