With the slow days of August coming to a close, markets are watching nervously for the seasonally volatile month of September, especially around the options expiry on September 16th – there is much embedded muscle memory of painful ends to Q3 over the years – and are starting to adopt a certain ‘back to school’ mentality, where investors are forced to focus on the – not very attractive – fundamentals.
As such, we thought it worth getting to the school-books a bit early and discussing a few of the ‘known’ issues (as well as a few known unkowns) that markets are likely to concentrate on over the next few weeks and months
This year has seen some significant headwinds for all markets, particularly those coming from de-leveraging and, as those headwinds fade, we see some stability emerging and a series of bear market squeezes that are hinting that the bear may be over and the new Bull can begin (see August Market Thinking).
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