Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Robert is the Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst of Real Estate Foresight Ltd (REF) (www.realestateforesight.com), an independent analytics, research, and consulting firm based in Hong Kong and focused on the Mainland China property markets. 

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development.

This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities.

The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

More info: https://www.realestateforesight.com

Robert started the company in 2012, after 13 years at Thomson Reuters in two major roles as Global Head of Real Estate Markets (London/Hong Kong) and earlier as Head of Corporate Foresight in Group Strategy in London. He holds a dual MBA degree from London Business School and Columbia Business School in New York, and MSc from Warsaw School of Economics. Robert holds an international master in chess title.

In 2017, Robert founded Robotic Online Intelligence Ltd (ROI) (www.roboticonline.ai), a startup in AI-powered automation of research for data collection and market intelligence, serving primarily data companies and research firms. 

ROI's Kubro(TM) Information Engine enterprise SaaS solution has been deployed commercially since 2018, with clients in the US, UK, and Asia, in areas ranging from real estate, and policy research, to data centers, and carbon and digital asset markets.

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China Real estate / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Growth in Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volumes for new home sales in China in July decelerated further to 26.6% on a year-to-date year-on-year basis, compared with 29% in June and 34% in May, based on official data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released on August 12. This is in line <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weekly-china-property-sales-data-in-july-points-at-further-national-sales-growth-slowdown" target="_blank">with our estimate based on the weekly SouFun data available already end of July</a> for a smaller number of cities. We expected the figure to be "at around 25%".</p><p>Year-on-year price growth, however…</p>

Growth in Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volumes for new home sales in China in July decelerated further to 26.6% on a year-to-date year-on-year basis, compared with 29% in June and 34% in May, based on official data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released on August 12. This is in line with our estimate based on the weekly SouFun data available already end of July for a smaller number of cities. We expected the figure to be "at around 25%".Year-on-year price growth, however…

Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties (1567411D HK)

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH)

Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co. (600000 CH)

Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union (600010 CH)

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

China Merchants Property Develpmt (200024 CH)

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone (600663 CH)

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech (600111 CH)

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese (A) (000069 CH)

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (A) (600999 CH)

China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., (601601 CH)

Belle International Holdings (2129452D HK)

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK)

China Property: Further Deceleration in Volume Growth But Prices Keep Rising (Official July Data)