Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

All-round Multi-Asset investor. Former head of a EUR 5 billion multi-asset fund range. Speaker. Charts & Frameworks. Founder of True Insights, a provider of independent investment research, trade ideas & well-diversified portfolios.
https://true-insights.net/

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Sentiment Strengthens, While Fundamentals Fade

Asset Class Performance After the Final Hike – Part I Equities

Changes in Portfolio Weights: Calibrating the Weight of Nominal and Real Assets.

Weekly Market Monitor 14 - Did the Fed Finally Break the US Labor Market?

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Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The US labor is finally succumbing to the biggest and fastest Federal Reserve tightening cycle since the early 1980s.</li>
<li>The historical relationship between Fed tightening cycles and the US unemployment rate is strong.  On average, US unemployment started rising six months after the last Fed hike.</li>
<li>It took nearly two years after the last Fed rate hike before the peak was in, with unemployment increasing by 3.5 percentage points. The big exception: 1994-1995!</li>
</ul>


The US labor is finally succumbing to the biggest and fastest Federal Reserve tightening cycle since the early 1980s.
The historical relationship between Fed tightening cycles and the US unemployment rate is strong.  On average, US unemployment started rising six months after the last Fed hike.
It took nearly two years after the last Fed rate hike before the peak was in, with unemployment increasing by 3.5 percentage points. The big exception: 1994-1995!


Back to the Future: ‘US Unemployment Hits 7% in January 2025’