ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

In Equity Sales and Research for more than 25 years covering Asian markets. Possesses in-depth knowledge of a wide range of companies, economies, and markets in Asia. Over his career, he has specialised in HK/China and ASEAN markets at various different Investment Banks, most recently heading equities in Indonesia for Bank of America Merrill Lynch in Jakarta for more than three years. Whilst in Jakarta, he produced a well-read daily and weekly product on the Indonesian market, which included company visits, as well as political, economic and sector commentary. A former racing skier, who enjoys ultra-marathons and surfing in his spare time.

ASEAN Insight Provider

Astra International (ASII IJ) - Digitally Remastered in a Cyclical Recovery

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Vaccinated Tourism, Indonesian Retail, and COVID-19 Spike

Indonesia Strategy - Rolling the Dice on COVID-19?

Astra International (ASII IJ) - A Dawning Recovery Is Afoot

Astra International (ASII IJ) - Simmering Recovery Afoot

Astra International (ASII IJ) - An Auto-Recovery Story with a Golden Digital Twist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> released its FY2020 results with an EPS decline of -53% before exceptional (gain on sale of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-permata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:728:1" rel="noopener">Bank Permata (BNLI IJ)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-bank-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:213:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Bank Public (BBL TB))</a>. Including the one-off gain from the sale of the bank then profits were down -28%. 
Car sales were down -50% in 2020 with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> seeing a slight decline in market share, whilst motorcycle sales were -41% but with Astra Honda gaining market share. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> saw a slight increase in loan loss provisions for its financial services business due to the impact of the pandemic. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-tractors-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:698:1" rel="noopener">United Tractors (UNTR IJ)</a> was impacted by lower coal prices impacting heavy equipment sales and mining contracting volumes. 
Its agribusiness under <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-agro-lestari-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4050:1" rel="noopener">Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ)</a> saw positive tailwinds from the higher crude palm oil price. 
The company finished the period with a strong balance sheet and a strong funding position given it has booked the proceeds from the sale of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-permata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:728:1" rel="noopener">Bank Permata (BNLI IJ)</a>. This gives <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> the wherewithal to look for acquisition opportunities in the wake of the pandemic. 
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> is trading around 20% below the historical mean on a forward PER basis and could trade higher during a recovery. It continues to be one of our top picks to play the recovery in the Indonesian economy. 
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Astra International (ASII IJ) released its FY2020 results with an EPS decline of -53% before exceptional (gain on sale of Bank Permata (BNLI IJ) to Bangkok Bank Public (BBL TB)). Including the one-off gain from the sale of the bank then profits were down -28%. 
Car sales were down -50% in 2020 with Astra International (ASII IJ) seeing a slight decline in market share, whilst motorcycle sales were -41% but with Astra Honda gaining market share. 
Astra International (ASII IJ) saw a slight increase in loan loss provisions for its financial services business due to the impact of the pandemic. 
United Tractors (UNTR IJ) was impacted by lower coal prices impacting heavy equipment sales and mining contracting volumes. 
Its agribusiness under Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ) saw positive tailwinds from the higher crude palm oil price. 
The company finished the period with a strong balance sheet and a strong funding position given it has booked the proceeds from the sale of Bank Permata (BNLI IJ). This gives Astra International (ASII IJ) the wherewithal to look for acquisition opportunities in the wake of the pandemic. 

Astra International (ASII IJ) is trading around 20% below the historical mean on a forward PER basis and could trade higher during a recovery. It continues to be one of our top picks to play the recovery in the Indonesian economy. 


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Sitting in Pole Position