Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Although data interpolation has a long history, the various linear and nonlinear techniques have pros and cons         </li>
<li>I introduce a hybrid technique to interpolate monthly US inflation-adjusted GDP going back to 1947</li>
<li>My monthly GDP nowcast through November seems consistent with some growth moderation on a three-month and six-month basis   </li>
</ul>


Although data interpolation has a long history, the various linear and nonlinear techniques have pros and cons         
I introduce a hybrid technique to interpolate monthly US inflation-adjusted GDP going back to 1947
My monthly GDP nowcast through November seems consistent with some growth moderation on a three-month and six-month basis   


Another Way to Skin a Cat?