FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Greg has had a long career in foreign exchange, beginning at the Reserve Bank of Australia in 1989.  He was the first economics graduate at the Bank to be assigned to the foreign exchange dealing desk. Greg learnt from highly respected stewards of policy and market development at the Bank.  He played a leading role in establishing the Bank’s approach to asset and currency management of its international reserves, and managed the Bank's Japanese bond portfolio for a year before joining the private sector in 1995.

In October 2015, Greg launched his own FX research company, Amplifying Global FX Capital, after completing duties at the Royal Bank of Scotland in Singapore where he was the Head of Asia Pacific Markets Strategy since February 2014.  His flagship  report (AmpGFX) is available here on SmartKarma.

He has maintained a trading track record since March 2013. The results are very good over this period. There have been significant macro developments that suit his approach to markets. He is now managing his own capital and will often have positions in the markets that he is writing about in his AmpGFX report.

For a detailed biography and trading performance analysis head to the ampGFXcapital.com website.

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

<p><em>The surprise overnight was that the BoE suggested a weaker outlook for its trading partners&rsquo; growth is likely to delay its rate hikes until 2017, and it may implement macro-prudential measures to help sustain lower rates; clearly negative for the GBP and it has reacted.&nbsp; The news may have also weighed on the USD to some extent, suggesting that the Fed should also move cautiously on its plans to hike. A hike now seem quite likely in December, provided the data and global financial conditions are reasonably stable.&nbsp; Needless to say the payrolls report in the US may set the tone for the USD. German factory orders were weak with the intensifying scandal at VW potentially a contributing factor. This should keep the ECB on track to ease policy in December.&nbsp; The RBA Statement on Monetary Policy significantly lowered its inflation outlook over the next year.&nbsp;&nbsp; Its growth outlook was little changed with weaker trading partner growth offset by a firmer outlook for non-resource sectors.&nbsp; This view relies on the AUD remaining low and suggests that the RBA would be more comfortable if the currency fell than rose; especially in light of recent falls in commodity prices. And might use its easing bias if the AUD were to rise much.</em></p>

The surprise overnight was that the BoE suggested a weaker outlook for its trading partners&rsquo; growth is likely to delay its rate hikes until 2017, and it may implement macro-prudential measures to help sustain lower rates; clearly negative for the GBP and it has reacted.&nbsp; The news may have also weighed on the USD to some extent, suggesting that the Fed should also move cautiously on its plans to hike. A hike now seem quite likely in December, provided the data and global financial conditions are reasonably stable.&nbsp; Needless to say the payrolls report in the US may set the tone for the USD. German factory orders were weak with the intensifying scandal at VW potentially a contributing factor. This should keep the ECB on track to ease policy in December.&nbsp; The RBA Statement on Monetary Policy significantly lowered its inflation outlook over the next year.&nbsp;&nbsp; Its growth outlook was little changed with weaker trading partner growth offset by a firmer outlook for non-resource sectors.&nbsp; This view relies on the AUD remaining low and suggests that the RBA would be more comfortable if the currency fell than rose; especially in light of recent falls in commodity prices. And might use its easing bias if the AUD were to rise much.

AmpGFX - Low AUD crucial for RBA game-plan