FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Greg has had a long career in foreign exchange, beginning at the Reserve Bank of Australia in 1989.  He was the first economics graduate at the Bank to be assigned to the foreign exchange dealing desk. Greg learnt from highly respected stewards of policy and market development at the Bank.  He played a leading role in establishing the Bank’s approach to asset and currency management of its international reserves, and managed the Bank's Japanese bond portfolio for a year before joining the private sector in 1995.

In October 2015, Greg launched his own FX research company, Amplifying Global FX Capital, after completing duties at the Royal Bank of Scotland in Singapore where he was the Head of Asia Pacific Markets Strategy since February 2014.  His flagship  report (AmpGFX) is available here on SmartKarma.

He has maintained a trading track record since March 2013. The results are very good over this period. There have been significant macro developments that suit his approach to markets. He is now managing his own capital and will often have positions in the markets that he is writing about in his AmpGFX report.

For a detailed biography and trading performance analysis head to the ampGFXcapital.com website.

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

<p><em>Currency markets may remain in a choppy trendless state for the time being.  Low negative rate policies in the Eurozone and Japan, preclude us from buying their currencies.  The USD has a weaker trend for the moment as the market considers a prolonged period of stable rates in the US.  Global investor confidence also remains constrained by a range of factors and less responsive to quantitative low rate central bank policy (discussed in our report: <a href="http://ampgfxcapital.com/reports/oil-leaves-a-slippery-slick-for-global-markets/" target="_blank">Oil leaves a slippery slick for global markets, 15-Feb</a>). Global growth has lost momentum and global financial conditions have tightened since the beginning of the year.  Fear of lower for longer inflation is born out in market-based measures and surveys of long-run inflation expectations.  The risk is swinging towards sluggish global growth, low inflation and central banks across the globe reaching more for lowering rates, with zero no longer the lower boundary. Conditions are ripe for competitive currency devaluations and this is supporting the rising trend in Gold.  Below we discuss the Australian employment report and recent business surveys that suggest that the moderate recovery underway in 2015 may have lost momentum.  Australia is not alone facing challenges generating a sustainable recovery, and thus it is not clear that the AUD must go down, but we expect pressure to build for a weaker AUD and/or lower interest rates.</em></p>

Currency markets may remain in a choppy trendless state for the time being.  Low negative rate policies in the Eurozone and Japan, preclude us from buying their currencies.  The USD has a weaker trend for the moment as the market considers a prolonged period of stable rates in the US.  Global investor confidence also remains constrained by a range of factors and less responsive to quantitative low rate central bank policy (discussed in our report: Oil leaves a slippery slick for global markets, 15-Feb). Global growth has lost momentum and global financial conditions have tightened since the beginning of the year.  Fear of lower for longer inflation is born out in market-based measures and surveys of long-run inflation expectations.  The risk is swinging towards sluggish global growth, low inflation and central banks across the globe reaching more for lowering rates, with zero no longer the lower boundary. Conditions are ripe for competitive currency devaluations and this is supporting the rising trend in Gold.  Below we discuss the Australian employment report and recent business surveys that suggest that the moderate recovery underway in 2015 may have lost momentum.  Australia is not alone facing challenges generating a sustainable recovery, and thus it is not clear that the AUD must go down, but we expect pressure to build for a weaker AUD and/or lower interest rates.

AmpGFX - Jobs Data Take Some Wind Out of Sails of the RBA's Recent Optimism