Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

Alibaba (BABA US) – Looking for a Reprieve from Regulatory Headwinds

Alibaba (BABA): Over Impacted Before Quarter Result

Alibaba (BABA): FY1Q22, Physical Stores Growing Strongly, Margin Lower but Controllable, 30% Upside

Alibaba (BABA): Fined $2.78 Billion for “Either Or”, But Impact Is Neither Big Nor Long Term

Alibaba (BABA): 4Q21 Result, Not as Bad as It Looks

Alibaba (BABA): Restructure Again, The Bad Business Cleaner Comes Back

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>We believe China online retail growth rate accelerated in May and June 2021 compared to the same months in 2019.</li>
<li>In 2021, e-commerce apps managed to retain most users who started online shopping during the lockdown in 2020.</li>
<li>The YoY growth rates are misleading. It is a mistake that online shopping is slowing down after the pandemic has eased in China.</li>
</ul>


We believe China online retail growth rate accelerated in May and June 2021 compared to the same months in 2019.
In 2021, e-commerce apps managed to retain most users who started online shopping during the lockdown in 2020.
The YoY growth rates are misleading. It is a mistake that online shopping is slowing down after the pandemic has eased in China.


Alibaba (BABA): China E-Commerce Growth Rate Not Declining, But Accelerating