Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Update on the Bear -- Too Much Capital Concentration

Chinese Monetary Policy Is Loose And It Is Unlikely To 'Tighten' in 2018

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Macroeconomics

Not great news? Two recent sets of data ought to makes investors re-assess risks: (1) the CrossBorder Capital weekly track of major Central Bank QE policies (this includes China and EM) shows the weakest print for four years [see chart 1], and (2) Now-Casting Economics'proprietary tracking of the China economy shows a sharp skid in Q2 activity rates [see chart 2].<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/050/752/original/weeklyG4.JPG?1524745895" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="50752"></figure>With investors' risk appetite still high (albeit not as excessive as it was) and the US dollar finally showing some firmness again…

Not great news? Two recent sets of data ought to makes investors re-assess risks: (1) the CrossBorder Capital weekly track of major Central Bank QE policies (this includes China and EM) shows the weakest print for four years [see chart 1], and (2) Now-Casting Economics'proprietary tracking of the China economy shows a sharp skid in Q2 activity rates [see chart 2].With investors' risk appetite still high (albeit not as excessive as it was) and the US dollar finally showing some firmness again…

Agghhh.. Tighter Central Banks, Wobbly China!