bullish

ACE: Results Are Not Stunning, Stay on HOLD

291 Views01 Sep 2020 11:52
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SUMMARY

We upgrade our recommendation on ACE to HOLD from SELL based on raising our target price to Bt3.49 from Bt2.64, implying an upside of 8% from the current price. We think ACE deserves to trade at a premium to the Thai sector due to its pronounced growth prospects, we use a target 2020E PE of 29.4x.

Investment thesis:

  • Power producer with high growth potential, but already priced in
  • Long-term contracts and supply control drive high profitability
  • Government driven demand can pose a risk

Interim: ACE has delivered good 2Q20 results and follows up on its continuous expansion plan, justifying high growth prospects. We revise our forecast upward to account for the strong results.

Risks: Adverse regulatory changes, reliance on a few customers, volatility in fuel prices, unexpected disruptions in production, delays in project execution, change in political leadership can sometimes impact companies.

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